Almost Sure

25 February 11

Properties of Lévy Processes

Lévy processes, which are defined as having stationary and independent increments, were introduced in the previous post. It was seen that the distribution of a d-dimensional Lévy process X is determined by the characteristics {(\Sigma,b,\nu)} via the Lévy-Khintchine formula,

\displaystyle  \setlength\arraycolsep{2pt} \begin{array}{rl} &\displaystyle{\mathbb E}\left[e^{ia\cdot (X_t-X_0)}\right] = \exp(t\psi(a)),\smallskip\\ &\displaystyle\psi(a)=ia\cdot b-\frac12a^{\rm T}\Sigma a+\int_{{\mathbb R}^d}\left(e^{ia\cdot x}-1-\frac{ia\cdot x}{1+\Vert x\Vert}\right)\,d\nu(x). \end{array}

(1)

The positive semidefinite matrix {\Sigma} describes the Brownian motion component of X, b is a drift term, and {\nu} is a measure on {{\mathbb R}^d} such that {\nu(A)} is the rate at which jumps {\Delta X\in A} of X occur. Then, equation (1) gives us the characteristic function of the increments of the process.

In the current post, I will investigate some of the properties of such processes, and how they are related to the characteristics. In particular, we will be concerned with pathwise properties of X. It is known that Brownian motion and Cauchy processes have infinite variation in every nonempty time interval, whereas other Lévy processes — such as the Poisson process — are piecewise constant, only jumping at a discrete set of times. There are also purely discontinuous Lévy processes which have infinitely many discontinuities, yet are of finite variation, on every interval (e.g., the gamma process). (more…)

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23 November 10

Lévy Processes

A Poisson process sample path

Figure 1: A Cauchy process sample path

Continuous-time stochastic processes with stationary independent increments are known as Lévy processes. In the previous post, it was seen that processes with independent increments are described by three terms — the covariance structure of the Brownian motion component, a drift term, and a measure describing the rate at which jumps occur. Being a special case of independent increments processes, the situation with Lévy processes is similar. However, stationarity of the increments does simplify things a bit. We start with the definition.

Definition 1 (Lévy process) A d-dimensional Lévy process X is a stochastic process taking values in {{\mathbb R}^d} such that

  • independent increments: {X_t-X_s} is independent of {\{X_u\colon u\le s\}} for any {s<t}.
  • stationary increments: {X_{s+t}-X_s} has the same distribution as {X_t-X_0} for any {s,t>0}.
  • continuity in probability: {X_s\rightarrow X_t} in probability as s tends to t.

More generally, it is possible to define the notion of a Lévy process with respect to a given filtered probability space {(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\{\mathcal{F}_t\}_{t\ge0},{\mathbb P})}. In that case, we also require that X is adapted to the filtration and that {X_t-X_s} is independent of {\mathcal{F}_s} for all {s < t}. In particular, if X is a Lévy process according to definition 1 then it is also a Lévy process with respect to its natural filtration {\mathcal{F}_t=\sigma(X_s\colon s\le t)}. Note that slightly different definitions are sometimes used by different authors. It is often required that {X_0} is zero and that X has cadlag sample paths. These are minor points and, as will be shown, any process satisfying the definition above will admit a cadlag modification.

The most common example of a Lévy process is Brownian motion, where {X_t-X_s} is normally distributed with zero mean and variance {t-s} independently of {\mathcal{F}_s}. Other examples include Poisson processes, compound Poisson processes, the Cauchy process, gamma processes and the variance gamma process.

For example, the symmetric Cauchy distribution on the real numbers with scale parameter {\gamma > 0} has probability density function p and characteristic function {\phi} given by,

\displaystyle  \setlength\arraycolsep{2pt} \begin{array}{rl} &\displaystyle p(x)=\frac{\gamma}{\pi(\gamma^2+x^2)},\smallskip\\ &\displaystyle\phi(a)\equiv{\mathbb E}\left[e^{iaX}\right]=e^{-\gamma\vert a\vert}. \end{array} (1)

From the characteristic function it can be seen that if X and Y are independent Cauchy random variables with scale parameters {\gamma_1} and {\gamma_2} respectively then {X+Y} is Cauchy with parameter {\gamma_1+\gamma_2}. We can therefore consistently define a stochastic process {X_t} such that {X_t-X_s} has the symmetric Cauchy distribution with parameter {t-s} independent of {\{X_u\colon u\le t\}}, for any {s < t}. This is called a Cauchy process, which is a purely discontinuous Lévy process. See Figure 1.

Lévy processes are determined by the triple {(\Sigma,b,\nu)}, where {\Sigma} describes the covariance structure of the Brownian motion component, b is the drift component, and {\nu} describes the rate at which jumps occur. The distribution of the process is given by the Lévy-Khintchine formula, equation (3) below.

Theorem 2 (Lévy-Khintchine) Let X be a d-dimensional Lévy process. Then, there is a unique function {\psi\colon{\mathbb R}\rightarrow{\mathbb C}} such that

\displaystyle  {\mathbb E}\left[e^{ia\cdot (X_t-X_0)}\right]=e^{t\psi(a)} (2)

for all {a\in{\mathbb R}^d} and {t\ge0}. Also, {\psi(a)} can be written as

\displaystyle  \psi(a)=ia\cdot b-\frac{1}{2}a^{\rm T}\Sigma a+\int _{{\mathbb R}^d}\left(e^{ia\cdot x}-1-\frac{ia\cdot x}{1+\Vert x\Vert}\right)\,d\nu(x) (3)

where {\Sigma}, b and {\nu} are uniquely determined and satisfy the following,

  1. {\Sigma\in{\mathbb R}^{d^2}} is a positive semidefinite matrix.
  2. {b\in{\mathbb R}^d}.
  3. {\nu} is a Borel measure on {{\mathbb R}^d} with {\nu(\{0\})=0} and,
    \displaystyle  \int_{{\mathbb R}^d}\Vert x\Vert^2\wedge 1\,d\nu(x)<\infty. (4)

Furthermore, {(\Sigma,b,\nu)} uniquely determine all finite distributions of the process {X-X_0}.

Conversely, if {(\Sigma,b,\nu)} is any triple satisfying the three conditions above, then there exists a Lévy process satisfying (2,3).

(more…)

15 September 10

Processes with Independent Increments

In a previous post, it was seen that all continuous processes with independent increments are Gaussian. We move on now to look at a much more general class of independent increments processes which need not have continuous sample paths. Such processes can be completely described by their jump intensities, a Brownian term, and a deterministic drift component. However, this class of processes is large enough to capture the kinds of behaviour that occur for more general jump-diffusion processes. An important subclass is that of Lévy processes, which have independent and stationary increments. Lévy processes will be looked at in more detail in the following post, and includes as special cases, the Cauchy process, gamma processes, the variance gamma process, Poisson processes, compound Poisson processes and Brownian motion.

Recall that a process {\{X_t\}_{t\ge0}} has the independent increments property if {X_t-X_s} is independent of {\{X_u\colon u\le s\}} for all times {0\le s\le t}. More generally, we say that X has the independent increments property with respect to an underlying filtered probability space {(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\{\mathcal{F}_t\}_{t\ge0},{\mathbb P})} if it is adapted and {X_t-X_s} is independent of {\mathcal{F}_s} for all {s < t}. In particular, every process with independent increments also satisfies the independent increments property with respect to its natural filtration. Throughout this post, I will assume the existence of such a filtered probability space, and the independent increments property will be understood to be with regard to this space.

The process X is said to be continuous in probability if {X_s\rightarrow X_t} in probability as s tends to t. As we now state, a d-dimensional independent increments process X is uniquely specified by a triple {(\Sigma,b,\mu)} where {\mu} is a measure describing the jumps of X, {\Sigma} determines the covariance structure of the Brownian motion component of X, and b is an additional deterministic drift term.

Theorem 1 Let X be an {{\mathbb R}^d}-valued process with independent increments and continuous in probability. Then, there is a unique continuous function {{\mathbb R}^d\times{\mathbb R}_+\rightarrow{\mathbb C}}, {(a,t)\mapsto\psi_t(a)} such that {\psi_0(a)=0} and

\displaystyle  {\mathbb E}\left[e^{ia\cdot (X_t-X_0)}\right]=e^{i\psi_t(a)}

(1)

for all {a\in{\mathbb R}^d} and {t\ge0}. Also, {\psi_t(a)} can be written as

\displaystyle  \psi_t(a)=ia\cdot b_t-\frac{1}{2}a^{\rm T}\Sigma_t a+\int _{{\mathbb R}^d\times[0,t]}\left(e^{ia\cdot x}-1-\frac{ia\cdot x}{1+\Vert x\Vert}\right)\,d\mu(x,s)

(2)

where {\Sigma_t}, {b_t} and {\mu} are uniquely determined and satisfy the following,

  1. {t\mapsto\Sigma_t} is a continuous function from {{\mathbb R}_+} to {{\mathbb R}^{d^2}} such that {\Sigma_0=0} and {\Sigma_t-\Sigma_s} is positive semidefinite for all {t\ge s}.
  2. {t\mapsto b_t} is a continuous function from {{\mathbb R}_+} to {{\mathbb R}^d}, with {b_0=0}.
  3. {\mu} is a Borel measure on {{\mathbb R}^d\times{\mathbb R}_+} with {\mu(\{0\}\times{\mathbb R}_+)=0}, {\mu({\mathbb R}^d\times\{t\})=0} for all {t\ge 0} and,

    \displaystyle  \int_{{\mathbb R}^d\times[0,t]}\Vert x\Vert^2\wedge 1\,d\mu(x,s)<\infty.

    (3)

Furthermore, {(\Sigma,b,\mu)} uniquely determine all finite distributions of the process {X-X_0}.

Conversely, if {(\Sigma,b,\mu)} is any triple satisfying the three conditions above, then there exists a process with independent increments satisfying (1,2).

(more…)

28 July 10

Bessel Processes

A random variable {N=(N^1,\ldots,N^n)} has the standard n-dimensional normal distribution if its components {N^i} are independent normal with zero mean and unit variance. A well known fact of such distributions is that they are invariant under rotations, which has the following consequence. The distribution of {Z\equiv\Vert N+\boldsymbol{\mu}\Vert^2} is invariant under rotations of {\boldsymbol{\mu}\in{\mathbb R}^n} and, hence, is fully determined by the values of {n\in{\mathbb N}} and {\mu=\Vert\boldsymbol{\mu}\Vert^2\in{\mathbb R}_+}. This is known as the noncentral chi-square distribution with n degrees of freedom and noncentrality parameter {\mu}, and denoted by {\chi^2_n(\mu)}. The moment generating function can be computed,

\displaystyle  M_Z(\lambda)\equiv{\mathbb E}\left[e^{\lambda Z}\right]=\left(1-2\lambda\right)^{-\frac{n}{2}}\exp\left(\frac{\lambda\mu}{1-2\lambda}\right),

(1)

which holds for all {\lambda\in{\mathbb C}} with real part bounded above by 1/2.

A consequence of this is that the norm {\Vert B_t\Vert} of an n-dimensional Brownian motion B is Markov. More precisely, letting {\mathcal{F}_t=\sigma(B_s\colon s\le t)} be its natural filtration, then {X\equiv\Vert B\Vert^2} has the following property. For times {s<t}, conditional on {\mathcal{F}_s}, {X_t/(t-s)} is distributed as {\chi^2_n(X_s/(t-s))}. This is known as the `n-dimensional’ squared Bessel process, and denoted by {{\rm BES}^2_n}.

A Poisson process sample path

Figure 1: Squared Bessel processes of dimensions n=1,2,3

Alternatively, the process X can be described by a stochastic differential equation (SDE). Applying integration by parts,

\displaystyle  dX = 2\sum_iB^i\,dB^i+\sum_id[B^i].

(2)

As the standard Brownian motions have quadratic variation {[B^i]_t=t}, the final term on the right-hand-side is equal to {n\,dt}. Also, the covarations {[B^i,B^j]} are zero for {i\not=j} from which it can be seen that

\displaystyle  W_t = \sum_i\int_0^t1_{\{B\not=0\}}\frac{B^i}{\Vert B\Vert}\,dB^i

is a continuous local martingale with {[W]_t=t}. By Lévy’s characterization, W is a Brownian motion and, substituting this back into (2), the squared Bessel process X solves the SDE

\displaystyle  dX=2\sqrt{X}\,dW+ndt.

(3)

The standard existence and uniqueness results for stochastic differential equations do not apply here, since {x\mapsto2\sqrt{x}} is not Lipschitz continuous. It is known that (3) does in fact have a unique solution, by the Yamada-Watanabe uniqueness theorem for 1-dimensional SDEs. However, I do not need and will not make use of this fact here. Actually, uniqueness in law follows from the explicit computation of the moment generating function in Theorem 4 below.

Although it is nonsensical to talk of an n-dimensional Brownian motion for non-integer n, Bessel processes can be extended to any real {n\ge0}. This can be done either by specifying its distributions in terms of chi-square distributions or by the SDE (3). In this post I take the first approach, and then show that they are equivalent. Such processes appear in many situations in the theory of stochastic processes, and not just as the norm of Brownian motion. It also provides one of the relatively few interesting examples of stochastic differential equations whose distributions can be explicitly computed.

The {\chi^2_n(\mu)} distribution generalizes to all real {n\ge0}, and can be defined as the unique distribution on {{\mathbb R}_+} with moment generating function given by equation (1). If {Z_1\sim\chi_m(\mu)} and {Z_2\sim\chi_n(\nu)} are independent, then {Z_1+Z_2} has moment generating function {M_{Z_1}(\lambda)M_{Z_2}(\lambda)} and, therefore, has the {\chi^2_{m+n}(\mu+\nu)} distribution. That such distributions do indeed exist can be seen by constructing them. The {\chi^2_n(0)} distribution is a special case of the Gamma distribution and has probability density proportional to {x^{n/2-1}e^{-x/2}}. If {Z_1,Z_2,\ldots} is a sequence of independent random variables with the standard normal distribution and T independently has the Poisson distribution of rate {\mu/2}, then {\sum_{i=1}^{2T}Z_i^2\sim\chi_0^2(\mu)}, which can be seen by computing its moment generating function. Adding an independent {\chi^2_n(0)} random variable Y to this produces the {\chi^2_n(\mu)} variable {Z\equiv Y+\sum_{i=1}^{2T}Z_i^2}.

The definition of squared Bessel processes of any real dimension {n\ge0} is as follows. We work with respect to a filtered probability space {(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\{\mathcal{F}_t\}_{t\ge0},{\mathbb P})}.

Definition 1 A process X is a squared Bessel process of dimension {n\ge0} if it is continuous, adapted and, for any {s<t}, conditional on {\mathcal{F}_s}, {X_t/(t-s)} has the {\chi^2_n\left(X_s/(t-s)\right)} distribution.

(more…)

19 July 10

Properties of Feller Processes

In the previous post, the concept of Feller processes was introduced. These are Markov processes whose transition function {\{P_t\}_{t\ge0}} satisfies certain continuity conditions. Many of the standard processes we study satisfy the Feller property, such as standard Brownian motion, Poisson processes, Bessel processes and Lévy processes as well as solutions to many stochastic differential equations. It was shown that all Feller processes admit a cadlag modification. In this post I state and prove some of the other useful properties satisfied by such processes, including the strong Markov property, quasi-left-continuity and right-continuity of the filtration. I also describe the basic properties of the infinitesimal generators. The results in this post are all fairly standard and can be found, for example, in Revuz and Yor (Continuous Martingales and Brownian Motion).

As always, we work with respect to a filtered probability space {(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\{\mathcal{F}_t\}_{t\ge0},{\mathbb P})}. Throughout this post we consider Feller processes X and transition functions {\{P_t\}_{t\ge0}} defined on the lccb (locally compact with a countable base) space E which, taken together with its Borel sigma-algebra, defines a measurable space {(E,\mathcal{E})}.

Recall that the law of a homogeneous Markov process X is described by a transition function {\{P_t\}_{t\ge0}} on some measurable space {(E,\mathcal{E})}. This specifies that the distribution of {X_t} conditional on the history up until an earlier time {s<t} is given by the measure {P_{t-s}(X_s,\cdot)}. Equivalently,

\displaystyle  {\mathbb E}[f(X_t)\mid\mathcal{F}_s]=P_{t-s}f(X_s)

for any bounded and measurable function {f\colon E\rightarrow{\mathbb R}}. The strong Markov property generalizes this idea to arbitrary stopping times.

Definition 1 Let X be an adapted process and {\{P_t\}_{t\ge 0}} be a transition function.

Then, X satisfies the strong Markov property if, for each stopping time {\tau}, conditioned on {\tau<\infty} the process {\{X_{\tau+t}\}_{t\ge0}} is Markov with the given transition function and with respect to the filtration {\{\mathcal{F}_{\tau+t}\}_{t\ge0}}.

As we see in a moment, Feller processes satisfy the strong Markov property. First, as an example, consider a standard Brownian motion B, and let {\tau} be the first time at which it hits a fixed level {K>0}. The reflection principle states that the process {\tilde B} defined to be equal to B up until time {\tau} and reflected about K afterwards, is also a standard Brownian motion. More precisely,

\displaystyle  \tilde B_t=\begin{cases} B_t,&\textrm{if }t\le\tau,\\ 2K-B_t,&\textrm{if }t\ge\tau, \end{cases}

is a Brownian motion. This useful idea can be used to determine the distribution of the maximum {B^*_t=\max_{s\le t}B_s}. If {B^*_t\ge K} then either the process itself ends up above K or it hits K and then drops below this level by time t, in which case {\tilde B_t>K}. So, by the reflection principle,

\displaystyle  {\mathbb P}(B^*_t\ge K)={\mathbb P}(B_t\ge K)+{\mathbb P}(\tilde B_t> K)=2{\mathbb P}(B_t\ge K).

(more…)

14 July 10

Feller Processes

The definition of Markov processes, as given in the previous post, is much too general for many applications. However, many of the processes which we study also satisfy the much stronger Feller property. This includes Brownian motion, Poisson processes, Lévy processes and Bessel processes, all of which are considered in these notes. Once it is known that a process is Feller, many useful properties follow such as, the existence of cadlag modifications, the strong Markov property, quasi-left-continuity and right-continuity of the filtration. In this post I give the definition of Feller processes and prove the existence of cadlag modifications, leaving the further properties until the next post.

The definition of Feller processes involves putting continuity constraints on the transition function, for which it is necessary to restrict attention to processes lying in a topological space {(E,\mathcal{T}_E)}. It will be assumed that E is locally compact, Hausdorff, and has a countable base (lccb, for short). Such spaces always possess a countable collection of nonvanishing continuous functions {f\colon E\rightarrow{\mathbb R}} which separate the points of E and which, by Lemma 6 below, helps us construct cadlag modifications. Lccb spaces include many of the topological spaces which we may want to consider, such as {{\mathbb R}^n}, topological manifolds and, indeed, any open or closed subset of another lccb space. Such spaces are always Polish spaces, although the converse does not hold (a Polish space need not be locally compact).

Given a topological space E, {C_0(E)} denotes the continuous real-valued functions vanishing at infinity. That is, {f\colon E\rightarrow{\mathbb R}} is in {C_0(E)} if it is continuous and, for any {\epsilon>0}, the set {\{x\colon \vert f(x)\vert\ge\epsilon\}} is compact. Equivalently, its extension to the one-point compactification {E^*=E\cup\{\infty\}} of E given by {f(\infty)=0} is continuous. The set {C_0(E)} is a Banach space under the uniform norm,

\displaystyle  \Vert f\Vert\equiv\sup_{x\in E}\vert f(x)\vert.

We can now state the general definition of Feller transition functions and processes. A topological space {(E,\mathcal{T}_E)} is also regarded as a measurable space by equipping it with its Borel sigma algebra {\mathcal{B}(E)=\sigma(\mathcal{T})}, so it makes sense to talk of transition probabilities and functions on E.

Definition 1 Let E be an lccb space. Then, a transition function {\{P_t\}_{t\ge 0}} is Feller if, for all {f\in C_0(E)},

  1. {P_tf\in C_0(E)}.
  2. {t\mapsto P_tf} is continuous with respect to the norm topology on {C_0(E)}.
  3. {P_0f=f}.

A Markov process X whose transition function is Feller is a Feller process.

(more…)

12 July 10

Markov Processes

In these notes, the approach taken to stochastic calculus revolves around stochastic integration and the theory of semimartingales. An alternative starting point would be to consider Markov processes. Although I do not take the second approach, all of the special processes considered in the current section are Markov, so it seems like a good idea to introduce the basic definitions and properties now. In fact, all of the special processes considered (Brownian motion, Poisson processes, Lévy processes, Bessel processes) satisfy the much stronger property of being Feller processes, which I will define in the next post.

Intuitively speaking, a process X is Markov if, given its whole past up until some time s, the future behaviour depends only its state at time s. To make this precise, let us suppose that X takes values in a measurable space {(E,\mathcal{E})} and, to denote the past, let {\mathcal{F}_t} be the sigma-algebra generated by {\{X_s\colon s\le t\}}. The Markov property then says that, for any times {s\le t} and bounded measurable function {f\colon E\rightarrow{\mathbb R}}, the expected value of {f(X_t)} conditional on {\mathcal{F}_s} is a function of {X_s}. Equivalently,

\displaystyle  {\mathbb E}\left[f(X_t)\mid\mathcal{F}_s\right]={\mathbb E}\left[f(X_t)\mid X_s\right] (1)

(almost surely). More generally, this idea makes sense with respect to any filtered probability space {\mathbb{F}=(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\{\mathcal{F}_t\}_{t\ge 0},{\mathbb P})}. A process X is Markov with respect to {\mathbb{F}} if it is adapted and (1) holds for times {s\le t}. (more…)

24 June 10

Poisson Processes

A Poisson process sample path

Figure 1: A Poisson process sample path

A Poisson process is a continuous-time stochastic process which counts the arrival of randomly occurring events. Commonly cited examples which can be modeled by a Poisson process include radioactive decay of atoms and telephone calls arriving at an exchange, in which the number of events occurring in each consecutive time interval are assumed to be independent. Being piecewise constant, Poisson processes have very simple pathwise properties. However, they are very important to the study of stochastic calculus and, together with Brownian motion, forms one of the building blocks for the much more general class of Lévy processes. I will describe some of their properties in this post.

A random variable N has the Poisson distribution with parameter {\lambda}, denoted by {X\sim{\rm Po}(\lambda)}, if it takes values in the set of nonnegative integers and

\displaystyle  {\mathbb P}(N=n)=\frac{\lambda^n}{n!}e^{-\lambda}

(1)

for each {n\in{\mathbb Z}_+}. The mean and variance of N are both equal to {\lambda}, and the moment generating function can be calculated,

\displaystyle  {\mathbb E}\left[e^{aN}\right] = \exp\left(\lambda(e^a-1)\right),

which is valid for all {a\in{\mathbb C}}. From this, it can be seen that the sum of independent Poisson random variables with parameters {\lambda} and {\mu} is again Poisson with parameter {\lambda+\mu}. The Poisson distribution occurs as a limit of binomial distributions. The binomial distribution with success probability p and m trials, denoted by {{\rm Bin}(m,p)}, is the sum of m independent {\{0,1\}}-valued random variables each with probability p of being 1. Explicitly, if {N\sim{\rm Bin}(m,p)} then

\displaystyle  {\mathbb P}(N=n)=\frac{m!}{n!(m-n)!}p^n(1-p)^{m-n}.

In the limit as {m\rightarrow\infty} and {p\rightarrow 0} such that {mp\rightarrow\lambda}, it can be verified that this tends to the Poisson distribution (1) with parameter {\lambda}.

Poisson processes are then defined as processes with independent increments and Poisson distributed marginals, as follows.

Definition 1 A Poisson process X of rate {\lambda\ge0} is a cadlag process with {X_0=0} and {X_t-X_s\sim{\rm Po}(\lambda(t-s))} independently of {\{X_u\colon u\le s\}} for all {s\le t}.

An immediate consequence of this definition is that, if X and Y are independent Poisson processes of rates {\lambda} and {\mu} respectively, then their sum {X+Y} is also Poisson with rate {\lambda+\mu}. (more…)

16 June 10

Continuous Processes with Independent Increments

A stochastic process X is said to have independent increments if {X_t-X_s} is independent of {\{X_u\}_{u\le s}} for all {s\le t}. For example, standard Brownian motion is a continuous process with independent increments. Brownian motion also has stationary increments, meaning that the distribution of {X_{t+s}-X_t} does not depend on t. In fact, as I will show in this post, up to a scaling factor and linear drift term, Brownian motion is the only such process. That is, any continuous real-valued process X with stationary independent increments can be written as

\displaystyle  X_t = X_0 + b t + \sigma B_t

(1)

for a Brownian motion B and constants {b,\sigma}. This is not so surprising in light of the central limit theorem. The increment of a process across an interval [s,t] can be viewed as the sum of its increments over a large number of small time intervals partitioning [s,t]. If these terms are independent with relatively small variance, then the central limit theorem does suggest that their sum should be normally distributed. Together with the previous posts on Lévy’s characterization and stochastic time changes, this provides yet more justification for the ubiquitous position of Brownian motion in the theory of continuous-time processes. Consider, for example, stochastic differential equations such as the Langevin equation. The natural requirements for the stochastic driving term in such equations is that they be continuous with stationary independent increments and, therefore, can be written in terms of Brownian motion.

The definition of standard Brownian motion extends naturally to multidimensional processes and general covariance matrices. A standard d-dimensional Brownian motion {B=(B^1,\ldots,B^d)} is a continuous process with stationary independent increments such that {B_t} has the {N(0,tI)} distribution for all {t\ge 0}. That is, {B_t} is joint normal with zero mean and covariance matrix tI. From this definition, {B_t-B_s} has the {N(0,(t-s)I)} distribution independently of {\{B_u\colon u\le s\}} for all {s\le t}. This definition can be further generalized. Given any {b\in{\mathbb R}^d} and positive semidefinite {\Sigma\in{\mathbb R}^{d^2}}, we can consider a d-dimensional process X with continuous paths and stationary independent increments such that {X_t} has the {N(tb,t\Sigma)} distribution for all {t\ge 0}. Here, {b} is the drift of the process and {\Sigma} is the `instantaneous covariance matrix’. Such processes are sometimes referred to as {(b,\Sigma)}-Brownian motions, and all continuous d-dimensional processes starting from zero and with stationary independent increments are of this form.

Theorem 1 Let X be a continuous {{\mathbb R}^d}-valued process with stationary independent increments.

Then, there exist unique {b\in{\mathbb R}^d} and {\Sigma\in{\mathbb R}^{d^2}} such that {X_t-X_0} is a {(b,\Sigma)}-Brownian motion.

(more…)

25 May 10

The Martingale Representation Theorem

The martingale representation theorem states that any martingale adapted with respect to a Brownian motion can be expressed as a stochastic integral with respect to the same Brownian motion.

Theorem 1 Let B be a standard Brownian motion defined on a probability space {(\Omega,\mathcal{F},{\mathbb P})} and {\{\mathcal{F}_t\}_{t\ge 0}} be its natural filtration.

Then, every {\{\mathcal{F}_t\}}local martingale M can be written as

\displaystyle  M = M_0+\int\xi\,dB

for a predictable, B-integrable, process {\xi}.

As stochastic integration preserves the local martingale property for continuous processes, this result characterizes the space of all local martingales starting from 0 defined with respect to the filtration generated by a Brownian motion as being precisely the set of stochastic integrals with respect to that Brownian motion. Equivalently, Brownian motion has the predictable representation property. This result is often used in mathematical finance as the statement that the Black-Scholes model is complete. That is, any contingent claim can be exactly replicated by trading in the underlying stock. This does involve some rather large and somewhat unrealistic assumptions on the behaviour of financial markets and ability to trade continuously without incurring additional costs. However, in this post, I will be concerned only with the mathematical statement and proof of the representation theorem.

In more generality, the martingale representation theorem can be stated for a d-dimensional Brownian motion as follows.

Theorem 2 Let {B=(B^1,\ldots,B^d)} be a d-dimensional Brownian motion defined on the filtered probability space {(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\{\mathcal{F}_t\}_{t\ge 0},{\mathbb P})}, and suppose that {\{\mathcal{F}_t\}} is the natural filtration generated by B and {\mathcal{F}_0}.

\displaystyle  \mathcal{F}_t=\sigma\left(\{B_s\colon s\le t\}\cup\mathcal{F}_0\right)

Then, every {\{\mathcal{F}_t\}}-local martingale M can be expressed as

\displaystyle  M=M_0+\sum_{i=1}^d\int\xi^i\,dB^i

(1)

for predictable processes {\xi^i} satisfying {\int_0^t(\xi^i_s)^2\,ds<\infty}, almost surely, for each {t\ge0}.

(more…)

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